Philippines (the) flag Philippines (the): Economic and Political Overview

The economic context of the Philippines

Economic Indicators

The Philippines' economy is considered one of the most dynamic in East Asia and the Pacific. After a strong post-pandemic rebound in 2022, the Philippine economy moderated in 2023, growing by 5.5%. Growth recovered to 5.8% in 2024, driven by strong public consumption and public construction, though partially offset by the El Niño weather phenomena and subdued private consumption. Economic activity is expected to pick up to 6.1% in 2025, with potential output estimated between 6.0% and 6.3% over the medium term. Consumption growth will be supported by lower food prices and the upcoming midterm elections, while investment growth is expected to rise due to sustained public investment and gradually declining borrowing costs (IMF).

Concerning public finances, the budget deficit averaged 5.1% in the first three quarters of 2024 and came in within the PHP 1.52 trillion ceiling for the year as a whole (government figures). The 2025 budget plans a 10% increase in government spending to a record PHP 6.33 trillion (USD 109.2 billion), higher than the previously projected PHP 6.18 trillion. Revenue is forecast at PHP 4.64 trillion, with a budget deficit of 5.3% of GDP. The education sector receives the largest allocation at PHP 1.053 trillion, followed by the public works ministry at PHP 1.034 trillion. The national government debt increased marginally from 56.5% of GDP at the end of 2023 to 57.6% in 2024 and is projected to remain stable over the forecast horizon (IMF). The current account deficit narrowed to 2% of GDP in 2024 as per the latest IMF estimates, supported by lower commodity prices, a recovery in tourism and business process outsourcing sector receipts, and a slight increase in inward remittances. The Philippines has maintained its 2024 inflation rate target at an average of 3.2% (data National Economic and Development Authority). The IMF expects inflation to average 2.8% in 2025, with higher electricity rates offset by reduced rice tariffs and other non-monetary measures to lower food prices. Over the medium term, investment is anticipated to be supported by an acceleration in public-private partnership projects and FDI, following recent legislative reforms.

Unemployment – at 4.4% in 2024 - remains below pre-pandemic levels, with employment gains recorded primarily in the construction sector. However, significant job losses occurred in agriculture, reflecting the impact of El Niño. Real wages recovered in 2023-24 from a record low in 2022 and surpassed pre-pandemic levels for the first time in July 2024. The country’s GDP per capita (PPP) was estimated at USD 12,079 in 2024 by the IMF and income inequality is still high. Poverty is expected to continue declining, although extreme climatic events pose risks. Poverty incidence is estimated to have decreased from 17.8% in 2021 to 13.6% in 2024, with a further reduction to 11.3% expected by 2026, based on the World Bank’s poverty line of USD 3.65/day (2017 PPP) for lower-middle-income countries.

 
Main Indicators 2023 (E)2024 (E)2025 (E)2026 (E)2027 (E)
GDP (billions USD) 437.15470.06507.67550.00595.30
GDP (Constant Prices, Annual % Change) 5.55.86.16.36.3
GDP per Capita (USD) 3,9064,1544,4394,7585,096
General Government Balance (in % of GDP) -4.4-3.8-3.9-3.0-2.4
General Government Gross Debt (in % of GDP) 56.557.658.258.057.1
Inflation Rate (%) 6.03.33.03.03.0
Unemployment Rate (% of the Labour Force) 4.44.45.25.25.2
Current Account (billions USD) -11.21-10.40-9.16-8.53-8.43
Current Account (in % of GDP) -2.6-2.2-1.8-1.6-1.4

Source: IMF – World Economic Outlook Database, October 2021

Main Sectors of Industry

According to the latest data from the World Bank, the agricultural sector contributes to 9.4% of the Philippines’ GDP and employs around 22.4% of the labour force. Rice is the primary staple crop, with corn, coconut (the second-largest producer worldwide), sugarcane, bananas, and mangoes as significant contributors to the agricultural output. The country's fertile land and favourable climate conditions allow for the cultivation of a wide variety of fruits and vegetables, including pineapples, papayas, and vegetables such as eggplant and tomatoes. Livestock farming, including poultry, swine, and cattle, is also prominent, catering to domestic consumption and export markets. Despite the agricultural potential, challenges such as land reform issues, inadequate infrastructure, natural disasters, and climate change impacts persist, affecting productivity and sustainability in the sector. According to data from PSA, the full-year value of production in agriculture and fisheries at constant 2018 prices decreased by 2.2% y-o-y in 2024, to PHP 1.73 trillion. The farm sector’s poor performance last year was driven by declines in crop (-4.2%), livestock (-4.3%), and fishery (-1.1%) production. However, poultry output increased by 6.6%.

The industry sector contributes to 28.2% of GDP and employs 18% of the workforce. Industrial food processing is one of the Philippines' main manufacturing activities. The big industries are dominated by the production of cement, glass, chemicals products and fertilisers, iron, steel and refined oil products. While the sector's growth was halted in the initial stages of the pandemic, as response measures impeded manufacturing activity and reduced the global demand for industrial products, the Filipino industry showed a gradual recovery in the past few years. The logistics industry was particularly dynamic, driven by a recovery in both local and global demand in e-commerce, domestic manufacturing and the export sectors. In 2024, the annual average growth rate of the value of production index for manufacturing exhibited an expansion of 0.2%, while in terms of volumes, production increased by 0.9% (data PSA).

The tertiary sector - which represents 62.4% of GDP and employs 59% of the country’s workforce - has developed substantially, particularly in telecommunications, call centres and finance, business process outsourcing (BPO) and information technology services, with cities like Manila and Cebu emerging as global BPO hubs. Additionally, the tourism industry plays a significant role (5.95 million international visitors in 2024, generating a record turnover of PHP 760.50 billion, as per the Department of Tourism). The retail and wholesale trade sector is also prominent, reflecting the country's robust consumer market. Emerging sectors include fintech, e-commerce, and healthcare services, driven by technological advancements and evolving consumer preferences. With a young and tech-savvy population, the Philippines is poised to continue expanding its tertiary sector and diversifying its service offerings in the global market.

 
Breakdown of Economic Activity By Sector Agriculture Industry Services
Employment By Sector (in % of Total Employment) 22.4 18.5 59.2
Value Added (in % of GDP) 9.4 28.2 62.4
Value Added (Annual % Change) 1.2 3.6 7.1

Source: World Bank, Latest Available Data. Because of rounding, the sum of the percentages may be smaller/greater than 100%.

 

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Indicator of Economic Freedom

Definition:

The Economic freedom index measure ten components of economic freedom, grouped into four broad categories or pillars of economic freedom: Rule of Law (property rights, freedom from corruption); Limited Government (fiscal freedom, government spending); Regulatory Efficiency (business freedom, labour freedom, monetary freedom); and Open Markets (trade freedom, investment freedom, financial freedom). Each of the freedoms within these four broad categories is individually scored on a scale of 0 to 100. A country’s overall economic freedom score is a simple average of its scores on the 10 individual freedoms.}}

Score:
64,1/100
World Rank:
73
Regional Rank:
12

Economic freedom in the world (interactive map)
Source: Index of Economic Freedom, Heritage Foundation

 

Business environment ranking

Definition:

The business rankings model measures the quality or attractiveness of the business environment in the 82 countries covered by The Economist Intelligence Unit’s Country Forecast reports. It examines ten separate criteria or categories, covering the political environment, the macroeconomic environment, market opportunities, policy towards free enterprise and competition, policy towards foreign investment, foreign trade and exchange controls, taxes, financing, the labour market and infrastructure.

Score:
5.93/10
World Rank:
54/82

Source: The Economist Intelligence Unit - Business Environment Rankings 2020-2024

 

Country Risk

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Sources of General Economic Information

Ministries
Department of Agriculture 
Department of Trade and Industry
Statistical Office
National Statistical Coordination Board
Central Bank
Central Bank of the Philippines (Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas)
Stock Exchange
The Philippine Stock Exchange
Economic Portals
Financial Times
 

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Latest Update: February 2025